Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Trumps Numbers; Outperformed Polls Across 5 States,15 Points Nationwide

The rout of Cruz and Kasich on Tuesday is remarkable. It continued his momentum from New York and the results are striking


Bound delegates won from last 6 states from a pool of 213 available;
Cruz 3 Kasich 10 Trump 200

Trump now has 857 bound delegates and 42 "unbound" bound from Pennsylvania and is well on the way to the nomination. He has in reality 1084
delegates.

Trump outperformed the Real Clear Politics "Poll of Polls" cumulative averages across the five states (as he did in New York last week


PENNSYLVANIA RCP AVERAGE 48.3% ACTUAL 56.7% +8.4


DELAWARE RCP 55.0% ACTUAL 60.8% +5.8


MARYLAND RCP 47.7% ACTUAL 54.4% +6.7


RHODE ISLAND RCP 52.3% ACTUAL 63.8% +11.5


CONNECTICUT RCP 53.7% ACTUAL 57.7% +4.0


RCP 5 STATE AVERAGE 52.6% ACTUAL 58% +5.4


NATIONWIDE RCP 43% AVE. 5 STATES 58% +15

Trumps 110 delegate haul (+42 unbound exceeded all estimates.